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Weto prezydenta Andrzeja Dudy może być elementem planu Jarosława Kaczyńskiego

Wielu polskich patriotów na wieść o zawetowaniu przez prezydenta Dudę ustaw PiS reformujących wymiar sądownictwa zareagowało zbyt emocjonalnie i histerycznie. Uznali oni, że prezydent ich zdradził, a renegaci nie mogli powstrzymać satysfakcji. Moim zdanie ta złość lub ta radość może być przedwczesna. Absolutnie nie wiemy, jakie ustawy zgłosi prezydent, bo to, że sam wystąpi z inicjatywą ustawodawczą w kwestii reformy sądownictwa jest pewne.

Jedną z klasycznych scen w filmach kryminalnych jest scena przesłuchania metodą „dobrego i złego policjanta”. Polega ona na tym, że policjanci dogadują się, i jeden z nich jest „zły” i zastrasza przesłuchiwanego, a drugi jest „dobry” i zdobywa sympatie zastraszonego. Rozgrywka z ustawami w sprawie sądów przypomina mi ten schemat. Tym bardziej, że panuje opinia, że Jarosław Kaczyński to mistrz strategi. Przez lata tę opinię ignorowałem, ale w ostaniach latach, kiedy wszystko układa się po myśli prezesa PiS, zaczynam się zastanawiać czy to nie jest prawda.

Przypomnijmy. Prezydent zawetował ustawy PiS reformujące sądownictwo, bo dawały one władzę ministrowi sprawiedliwości. Ministrem sprawiedliwości jest Zbigniew Ziobro, niebędący formalnie członkiem PiS, syn marnotrawny, który swego czasu odszedł z PiS i starał się zbudować partię patriotyczną pod swoim szyldem. Jak przegrał konkurencję z PiS, to jako syn marnotrawny do PiS powrócił, ale czy ojciec Jarosław Kaczyński mu na pewno wybaczył i zapomniał jego zdradę, tego nie możemy być pewni.

Natomiast Andrzej Duda członkiem PiS przestał być formalnie z racji wykonywania urzędu prezydenta. Nie zdradził nigdy Jarosława Kaczyńskiego, nie porzucił PiS, i nic nie kręcił na boku.

Jednym z postulatów PiS jest wzmocnienie władzy prezydenta. Władze prezydenta wzmacnia się nie poprzez przekazywanie kompetencji w ręce ministra sprawiedliwości, tylko w ręce prezydenta. Moim zdaniem możemy się zatem spodziewać, że cała ta awantura z wetem prezydenta to ustawka. A w końcu, tak jak zamierzano na początku, kompetencje, które w zawetowanym projekcie miał dostać minister sprawiedliwości dostanie prezydent. Byłoby to bardziej zgodne z dążeniem PiS do demokratyzacji ustroju w Polsce – ustrój sądów jest niedemokratyczny, bo sędziowie nie pochodzą z woli ludu. Demokratyczny mandat prezydenta jest o wiele większy niż mandat ministra. Ministra wybiera sejm wybrany przez lud, natomiast prezydent od razu pochodzi z woli ludu.

Dodatkowo ustrój prezydencki jest o wiele bardziej funkcjonalny niż obecny ustrój z dominującą rolą rządu. Prezydent ma stabilną władzę, a rząd musi zabiegać o poparcie sejmu. Stabilna większość PiS to ewenement, zazwyczaj rząd pochodzi z porozumienia kilku partii, co powoduje, że nie może być pewny stabilnej większości.

Pozostaje pytanie czy PiS zyskuje na protestach opozycji czy traci. Zacznijmy od pieniędzy. Protesty kosztują, więc ich przedłużanie osłabia opozycję. PiS gra tak, by opozycja się spłukała, zmęczyła i skompromitowała. Jest to gra bez ryzyka, wiadomo, że opozycja będzie non stop zwalczać PiS, ale dla PiS jest bardziej korzystne, by opozycje walka z PiS kosztowała więcej niż mniej. Po drugie dla PiS bardzo wygodne jest to, że opozycja wypala się w tematach nieinteresujących dla społeczeństwa takich jak ustrój sądownictwa – to, że nie są tematy popularne widać po tym, że protesty groteskowej opozycji przyciągają egzaltowanych emerytów, a protesty nowego formatu dobrze sytuowanych młodych lewicowców, którzy dla rewolucji nie zrezygnują z kawioru.

Jan Bodakowski

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143 komentarze

143 Komentarzy

  1. kowalski

    25 lipca 2017 at 10:22

    Ciekawa i oby słuszna analiza.

  2. Browar

    25 lipca 2017 at 11:07

    Idiotyzmy Pan wypisuje.

  3. tomek

    25 lipca 2017 at 11:27

    25.05.2017 do ministra sprawiedliwości wpłynęła petycja mieszkańców Elbląga o odwołanie prokuratora rejonowego jarosława żelazka. Dlaczego Ziobro nie opublikował jej na stronie ministerstwa zgodnie z ustawą o petycjach z dn.11.07.2014 (Dz. U. z 2014 r. Poz. 1195 art. 8 §1 )

  4. zjs

    25 lipca 2017 at 13:32

    Strateg strategiem, ale „zdradzieckimi mordami” strzelił sobie w kolano i dał amunicję polszewi. Słabe nerwy. Misterny wywód o planie Kaczyńskiego i ustawce z Dudą jest fantasmagorią. Po co byłoby tworzyć takie konstrukcje jak od razu można było zawrzeć takie prerogatywy prezydenta w ustawie? Opozycji nie zabraknie też kasy na eskalację konfliktu. Mają możnych sponsorów.

    • Mareczek

      30 lipca 2017 at 16:34

      @ zjs; jakie „słabe nerwy”? Po prostu chciał wywołać awanturę i to mu się doskonale udało, a jak się udało, to zasiadł w ławach i cieszył się na całego – razem z tym idiotą Terleckim – pooglądajcie sobie zdjęcia pokazane przez Max Kolonko. Siedzący obok minister spraw wewnętrznych też uśmiecha się pod nosem. To tylko cyrk przed Narodem, a w zanadrzu zatwierdzone ustawy godzący w Naród, m. in. zgoda na swobodną sprzedaż lasów dla tzw. nowo utworzonej firmy, mającej rzekomo budować mieszkania+. Zdaje się, że te mieszkania przeznaczone są nie dla Polaków, ale dla innych najeźdźców, którzy chcą do POLIN. Także teraz będzie można bez nakazu sądowego wyrzucać rodziny z ich własnych mieszkań.

  5. Renata

    25 lipca 2017 at 13:39

    To jest gra.PIS udaje,że coś robi.

  6. Wiki

    25 lipca 2017 at 13:41

    Może do końca kadencji pozytywnie nas zaskoczą.

  7. Janusz

    25 lipca 2017 at 16:16

    Doskonale wiemy, jakie ustawy zgłosi prezydent – takie, jak w sprawie okradanych od dekady „frankowiczów”, czyli żadne, albo będące w interesie wrogów Polski.

  8. Szukający Drogi

    25 lipca 2017 at 20:17

    Nie kupuję tego. Albo, jak pisze @Renata, to jest gra, a której pis udaje, że coś robi. Albo Duda stchórzył i już nigdy nie będzie okazji na przegonienie nadzwyczajnej kasty.

  9. Goska

    26 lipca 2017 at 05:16

    Całą prawdę o wecie prezydenta wyraził ulubieniec pp Bofdakowskiego i Żebrowskiego https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_QMhGEXFY-Q

    • Paweł

      26 lipca 2017 at 08:34

      Dosadnie i trafnie. Ciekaw jestem, czy Żebrowski odniósł się do zarzutów o bycie TW?

    • Tomasz

      26 lipca 2017 at 20:45

      Gośka Co Pani nie odpowiada Wojciech Olszański ?Z nie wszystkim co mówi musimy się zgadzać .Może Pani przeszkadza język wypowiedzi wtrąca wulgaryzmy to fakt ale mówi brutalną prawdę o Polsce i Polakach .Pan Jan Bodakowski jest świetnym dziennikarzem również Pani nie odpowiada?

  10. Kazimierz

    26 lipca 2017 at 12:41

    Pan Kaczyński to człowiek obyty w świecie, znający wiele obcych języków, mający kontakty i uznanie zarówno w Polsce jak i w świecie. Nie budzi najmniejszych wątpliwości że przewidział on to wszystko, a nawet znacznie więcej. Nieraz patrząc na niego nie mogę wyjść z podziwu, że w tym małym i nieporadnym ciałku mieszkanie znalazł umysł tak wielki, że nie po prostu nie sposób ująć go w żadne ramy.
    Są tacy, którzy sądzą, że katastrofa smoleńska też nie zdarzyła się przypadkiem, a Jarosław nie zawahał się złożyć na ołtarzu histerii nawet życia swojego brata, aby ratować umiłowaną ojczyznę…

  11. Darek

    30 lipca 2017 at 12:41

    To nie Kaczyński odsunął PO i PSL, ale wyborcy.
    Pan Bodakowski się myli.Duda okazał się tchórzem lub zdrajcą.Nie zachował się jak Polak.
    Obecnie nie ma dobrego rozwiązania.Jedyną szansą jest długa rozmowa prezydenta Trumpa
    z Merkel.
    Już 28 lat mamy niby wolność i co z tego mają Polacy -nic.

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